The Eternal Siege

Ripple Jul 28, 2025

In the shadowed arenas of innovation, where disruptors dare to rewrite the rules of power, a primal clash unfolds: The entrenched empires be they telecom titans scorning TCP/IP’s open rebellion or banks now barricading Ripple’s path to a trust charter unleash lawsuits, lobbyist legions, and fear-fueled narratives to cling to their thrones. Yet history whispers a thrilling secret to today’s fintech rebels and crypto crusaders: This opposition isn’t a death knell but a birth pang, heralding eras like the internet’s explosion that buried fax machines and postal empires in digital dust. As the Internet of Value (IoV) and Finternet dawn blockchain-forged realms where money flows like data, instant and unmediated the same bankers will rally their regulatory shields, delaying but never denying a revolution that empowers the masses with programmable wealth, tokenized assets, and peer-to-peer sovereignty. For in this eternal siege, the disruptors don’t just survive; they ascend, turning yesterday’s Goliaths into footnotes and tomorrow’s visionaries into victors proving that the fiercer the fight, the brighter the breakthrough.

This thesis explores the timeless pattern of technological disruption, drawing from decades of history to illuminate current battles and forecast future ones. From the Protocol Wars of the 1970s–1990s to the 2025 showdown between U.S. banks and crypto firms like Ripple, we’ll examine how incumbents resist change, the industries they’ve disrupted, and why adaptation or extinction is the ultimate outcome. Infused with fresh insights from contemporary analyses, including Ripple’s “epic comeback” amid regulatory headwinds turning to tailwinds, and XRP’s role as the “crypto sleeper” ready to reshape finance, this manuscript reveals that opposition, while formidable, often accelerates the very innovations it seeks to stifle like how TCP/IP’s triumph paved the way for IoV, where “money flows as effortlessly as data, much like TCP/IP revolutionized communication.”

The Protocol Wars: A Historical Blueprint for Resistance.

The story begins in the late 1970s, amid the “Protocol Wars,” a fierce debate over the foundational protocols that would define global networking. At its core was a clash between TCP/IP an open, flexible suite developed by U.S. researchers under DARPA’s ARPANET project and OSI (Open Systems Interconnection), a more structured, committee-driven standard backed by international bodies and European governments.

TCP/IP, pioneered by visionaries like Vint Cerf and Bob Kahn, emphasized “rough consensus and running code” a pragmatic approach that allowed rapid iteration and interoperability. Its adoption by ARPANET in 1983 marked a pivotal shift from older protocols like NCP. In contrast, OSI, formalized in 1984 by the ISO and ITU-T, promised a “universal” seven-layer model but suffered from bureaucratic delays and incompatibility with TCP/IP.

Opposition came from entrenched players fearing loss of control. European PTT monopolies (Post, Telegraph, and Telephone services), such as France Telecom and British Telecom, lobbied aggressively for OSI through ISO committees, viewing TCP/IP as U.S.-centric and a threat to their proprietary networks and leased-line revenues. They argued OSI was more secure and modular, but this masked economic motives: Packet-switching disrupted high-margin circuit-switched telephony.

U.S. telecoms like AT&T echoed this, declining to manage ARPANET in 1971 and dismissing packet-switching as “silly.” AT&T favored proprietary systems to protect its Bell monopoly, lobbying regulators to prioritize alternatives. Governments joined in: The U.S. Department of Commerce mandated OSI via GOSIP in 1988 for federal networks, while European nations like France and the UK funded OSI exclusively.

Computer vendors, including IBM with its SNA protocol and DEC with DECnet, resisted TCP/IP’s commoditization of networking, which reduced reliance on hardware-specific solutions. IBM’s influence shaped X.25 standards to favor virtual circuits over datagrams.

Despite this, TCP/IP triumphed by the mid-1990s. Its free, scalable nature bolstered by NSF mandates in 1985 and the World Wide Web in 1989 outpaced OSI’s slow implementation. By 1995, commercial internet traffic exploded, rendering OSI a theoretical relic. This blueprint shows how opposition delays but rarely halts superior tech, much like today’s fintech battles where regulatory “headwinds” for Ripple and XRP are turning into “tailwinds,” accelerating adoption as compliance builds trust. A century earlier, the mass-produced automobile echoed this siege: Henry Ford’s Model T rolled off assembly lines in 1908, democratizing mobility and sidelining horse carriages, but it also indirectly fueled the decline of public transit streetcars and early buses were scrapped en masse in cities like Los Angeles during the 1930s–1960s, as auto giants like General Motors orchestrated buyouts to promote car dependency, facing pushback from unions and riders who decried the loss of efficient mass systems.

Disruptions Unleashed: The Internet’s Ripple Effects

TCP/IP’s victory unleashed the internet, disrupting industries reliant on physical media and centralized control. Post-1995 commercialization (when NSF lifted non-profit restrictions) accelerated digitization, slashing demand for paper-based processes.

Paper consumption for printing peaked around 2000, declining 20-30% in developed nations as email, PDFs, and cloud storage took over. Printer giants like Xerox and HP saw core revenues erode; Xerox diversified into digital services as “paperless offices” became viable.

Postal services suffered: USPS first-class mail volume dropped from 208 billion pieces in 2000 to 122 billion by 2023, forcing pivots to e-commerce parcels. Print media collapsed U.S. newspaper ad revenue fell from $60 billion in 2000 to under $10 billion by 2020, with closures rampant.

Broader impacts included music (Napster’s file-sharing slashed CD sales 80%), video (streaming bankrupted Blockbuster), and retail (e-commerce grew to 15% of U.S. sales by 2023). Travel agencies lost 40% of jobs to sites like Expedia, while ride-sharing and short-term rentals disrupted taxis and hotels.

These shifts created winners like Amazon but led to widespread job losses and bankruptcies. Paralleling this, Bitcoin and XRP defy traditional finance’s “$2 trillion bond catastrophe” since 1800, offering trustless alternatives that could save trillions through innovations like BitBonds or tokenized assets.

How the Entrenched Fight Back: Tactics from History to Today

Incumbents deploy lawsuits, lobbying, PR campaigns, and coalitions to stall disruptors.

In music, the RIAA sued Napster in 1999 for copyright infringement, shutting it down in 2001 and filing 18,000+ user lawsuits. They lobbied for the DMCA in 1998 to criminalize DRM circumvention.

Newspapers, via the News/Media Alliance, blamed Craigslist for killing classifieds (40% of revenue) and sued aggregators like Meltwater in 2013.

Postal services blocked digital rivals; USPS killed Outbox in 2014 by refusing deliveries, citing monopoly laws.

Taxis protested Uber globally NYC alliances blocked roads in 2014, leading to bans in France. Hotels, through AHLA, lobbied for taxes and bans on Airbnb, commissioning studies on tax evasion ($2B+ annually).

These tactics buy time but rarely win long-term, as seen in Ripple’s SEC lawsuit (2020-2024, settled for $125 million), which suppressed XRP but ultimately provided clarity, turning “headwinds into tailwinds” for institutional adoption.

The Quiet Casualties: Fax and Xerox’s Adaptation Story

Unlike vocal opponents, the fax industry and Xerox adapted quietly to email and the internet. Fax peaked in the 1990s but declined as email offered speed and cost savings, persisting in niches like healthcare for security.

Xerox, inventor of the modern fax in 1964, pioneered digital tools at PARC, including early email prototypes. They promoted “paperless offices” in the 1970s and transitioned to internet fax services by the late 1990s, integrating with MFPs and cloud solutions. No major opposition campaigns emerged; instead, Xerox evolved, highlighting that not all disruptions provoke fights some lead to reinvention, akin to how XRP quietly forges partnerships amid regulatory storms. Similarly, the typewriter’s fall to computers in the 1980s–1990s met mild resistance writers clung to mechanical keys for their tactile feel, decrying word processors as “soulless,” but manufacturers like IBM pivoted seamlessly, embracing the digital wave without organized backlash.

Modern Echoes: Banks vs. Ripple in 2025

Fast-forward to July 2025: U.S. banking associations, including the ABA and ICBA, sent a joint letter to the OCC urging delays or halts on national trust charters for crypto firms like Ripple, Circle, and Fidelity Digital Assets. They argue these charters represent a “fundamental departure from precedent,” risking financial stability and consumer protections, with “vague” applications lacking transparency.

This mirrors telecoms’ OSI push: Banks fear Ripple’s XRP ledger disrupting SWIFT remittances, eroding fees in a $150B market. A charter would enable nationwide operations without state licenses, amplifying competition. Despite Ripple’s SEC win in 2023 and XRP nearing highs, incumbents lobby to preserve centralized control. Yet, as one analysis notes, “Ripple’s banking charter signals a financial symphony: Harmonizing global money,” with pursuits for Fed funds and insured deposits positioning it as a “game-changer” in crypto-banking integration.

The Next Frontier: IoV, Finternet, and Brewing Battles

Ripple’s IoV, coined in 2015, envisions money transferring like data instant, low-cost, peer-to-peer via blockchain, “just as TCP/IP standardized data transfer and HTTP made the internet a global hub.” It enables exchanging assets without defaults, addressing distrust from historical betrayals like the 2008 crisis’s $700 billion bailouts. Blockchain ensures immutable ledgers, with California’s DMV tokenizing titles since 2022, reducing fraud by 30%.

Finternet extends this as interconnected ecosystems with programmable money, tokenized RWAs, and CBDCs, potentially unlocking a $100T market. XRP, as a “crypto sleeper,” aligns with ISO 20022 (adopted by 87% of global payments by 2025), settling payments in seconds via RippleNet, with over 300 institutions. Predictions: Tokenized assets at $10B in 2025, XRP reaching $3-10 if adoption surges, driven by RLUSD’s $500M+ cap and partnerships like BNY Mellon.

Opposition looms: Banks cite volatility and laundering risks, pushing for centralized CBDCs, echoing China’s 2021 crypto ban or the SEC’s Ripple suit. But as headwinds turn to tailwinds via regulatory wins like the SEC dropping appeals in May 2025 XRP’s “epic comeback” accelerates, with surges from acquisitions and ETFs. “XRP’s alignment with ISO 20022 positions it as a cornerstone of the IoV a future where money, securities, and digital assets flow seamlessly.”

Bitcoin’s defiance against $2T bond defaults complements this, with BitBonds saving $70B annually, implying broader crypto resilience.

Conclusion: Disruption’s Inevitable Dawn

Disruption’s Unstoppable Horizon As the annals of innovation attest from the Protocol Wars that birthed the internet to the assembly lines that liberated mobility from horse-drawn relics disruptors do not merely endure the wrath of the entrenched; they harness it as fuel for ascension. History is unequivocal: The telecom monopolies that mocked TCP/IP as an academic folly unwittingly cleared the path for a digital renaissance, just as auto barons like General Motors orchestrated the demise of streetcars to usher in an era of personal freedom on wheels. Today, in the face of banking coalitions’ desperate letters to regulators, Ripple and XRP stand as beacons, their “epic comeback” transforming regulatory tempests into gale-force tailwinds that propel a new financial paradigm.

To the fintech visionaries, crypto trailblazers, and XRP holders navigating this siege: Your skirmishes are not setbacks but signposts of triumph. The Internet of Value and Finternet are not distant dreams but imminent realities a seamless tapestry where programmable money, tokenized assets, and peer-to-peer sovereignty dismantle borders, democratize wealth, and eradicate the inefficiencies that have chained global finance for centuries. Imagine a world where remittances cost pennies, not percentages; where tokenized real-world assets unlock trillions in liquidity; where blockchain’s immutable ledgers banish the ghosts of 2008’s bailouts and bond catastrophes. This is the clarion call of Ripple, XRP, and the XRPL: A symphony harmonizing global money, where value flows freely, opportunity is boundless, and the “crypto sleeper” awakens to redefine prosperity for billions.

Yet, the onus extends beyond innovators. Policymakers, regulators, and even the entrenched must awaken to a shared imperative: Balance safeguards with stewardship of progress, lest we squander the next wave of human advancement. For in this eternal siege, the entrenched may rage against the dying of their light, but the disruptors forge the dawn a radiant horizon where IoV eclipses outdated systems, Finternet interconnects economies like never before, and breakthroughs like XRP’s surge from regulatory chains to $10 valuations (or beyond) herald an era of unprecedented empowerment. The future beckons not with whispers, but with a roar: Adapt, innovate, or fade for the siege ends not in stalemate, but in sovereignty for all.

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